Treasuries Rise as Ceasefire Spurs Oil Drop, Fed Rate-Cut Hopes [Yahoo! Finance]
NATL AUSTRALIA BK S/ADR (NABZY)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
The two-year yield dropped 7 basis points to 3.72% in Asia trading on Wednesday, while the 10-year counterpart fell 4 basis points to 4.26%. Crude oil futures tumbled 14%. The so-called bull steepening of the yield curve came after the ceasefire that's expected to halt the American-Israeli military campaign in exchange for Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Optimism that oil prices will keep easing, capping inflation, has fueled expectations that the Fed may be able to loosen monetary policy further later this year. Overnight-indexed swaps signaled a likelihood of about 60% that the Fed may lower the policy rate by the year-end, compared with almost no chance seen at the start of this week. They priced in more than two rate reductions before the US and Israel started to strike Iran. “There's room for more bull steepening” in the near term, said Ken Crompton, head of rates strategy at National Australia Bank Ltd. “The market could readjust toward a slightly greater chance of
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News
- Dollar falls as Iran ceasefire emboldens investors [CNBC]CNBC
- Dollar Hits Four-Week Low as Ceasefire Boosts Risk Appetite 1 / 2 [Yahoo! Finance Canada]Yahoo! Finance Canada
- Dollar Hits Four-Week Low as Ceasefire Boosts Risk Appetite [Yahoo! Finance]Yahoo! Finance
- Treasuries Rise as Ceasefire Spurs Oil Drop, Fed Rate-Cut Hopes 1 / 2 [Yahoo! Finance Canada]Yahoo! Finance Canada
- World markets rocket higher on optimism Iran war could end soon [Yahoo! Finance]Yahoo! Finance