Iran conflict forces central banks into sharp policy rethink [Yahoo! Finance Canada]
NOMURA RSRCH UNSP/ADR (NRILY)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance Canada
For emerging Asian central banks, cutting interest rates has become a risky bet not just ?because of the added price pressure from higher fuel costs, but the risk of triggering capital outflows through worsening terms of trade with the U.S. The Reserve Bank ?of India, for one, expects to focus more on supporting growth by keeping interest rates low, sources have told Reuters. But a rush towards the safe-haven dollar, which is intensifying from the U.S.-Iran war, may force it ?to ramp up intervention to prop up its weakening currency. Thailand and the Philippines may be forced to reverse their dovish monetary policy stance, even as rising fuel costs hurt their economies, said Toru Nishihama, chief emerging market economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo. "Many central banks will face a tough decision as they come under pressure from both markets and governments," Nishihama said. "With no clear end in sight to the conflict, the risk of stagflation is heightening day
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