What Does the Middle East Conflict Mean for Nutrien (NTR)'s Nitrogen Business? [Yahoo! Finance]
Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares (NTR)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
price target on Nutrien Ltd. (NYSE:NTR) to $75 from $70 while keeping the stock at a Sector Perform rating. What Does the Middle East Conflict Mean for Nutrien (NTR)'s Nitrogen Business? Isaacson argued that the conflict in the Middle East has made Nutrien's nitrogen business worth more than it was before. This is because geopolitical disruptions have effectively lowered the risk-adjusted availability of nitrogen supply globally, which, in turn, benefits North American producers like Nutrien. To this end, the analyst revised his nitrogen price forecast upward. He lifted his mid-cycle estimate for NOLA urea, a key benchmark for US nitrogen prices, to $400 per short ton. Scotiabank estimates this price deck revision alone could add roughly $800 million in run-rate EBITDA across nitrogen producers like Nutrien, which translates to about $600 million in incremental free cash flow. The analyst also noted that Canpotex, Nutrien's export marketing arm, is sold out through June with no
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