Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors [zero hedge]
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Source: zero hedge
Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors Authored by Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Most NFL general managers (GMs) are optimistic and displaying overconfidence today as they prepare for tomorrow’s NFL draft. The draft is a once-a-year opportunity for GMs to acquire talent. Like investors, GMs often think they are smarter than their competitors, aka the market. Yet, they frequently have similar mindsets and follow the same narratives that drive their competition. As we will share, overconfidence and groupthink among football GMs and investors are behavioral flaws that often harm performance. Having the tools and strategies to mitigate our behavioral traits is extremely valuable and can lead you to better returns. Overconfidence In The NFL Four of the first five picks in the draft are expected to be quarterbacks. Not only is the quarterback the most important position on the field but this year’s draft is hyped as having several future greats. Based on data
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