Model estimates COVID outbreak occurred earlier than previously thought [CBS News]
New York Times Company (The) (NYT)
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Source: CBS News
New pandemic model estimates coronavirus outbreak was spreading earlier than U.S. realized New information suggests the coronavirus was spreading rapidly in the US much earlier than first thought. Only 23 coronavirus cases in several major cities had been reported by March 1, but analysis from a Northeastern University pandemic model estimates there could have already been about 28,000 coronavirus infections in those cities by that time. Researchers say the first death caused by COVID-19 occurred in California at the beginning of February, three weeks earlier than the first confirmed death in Washington State. "Those cases were not detected because if you don't test, you don't detect," Northeastern professor Dr. Alessandro Vespignani told CBS News' Dr. Jon LaPook. Vespignani and his team modeling the virus' spread believe it likely began in the U.S. in January, and by mid-February, there were about 50 new infections per day. A New York Times analysis of the modeling estimates New
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