Global Bond Rout Grows as Oil Jump Upends Interest-Rate Outlook [Yahoo! Finance Canada]
OVERSEAS CHINSE UNSP/ADR (OVCHY)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance Canada
Yields on benchmark 10-year US Treasuries rose more than three basis points to 4.17%, while the rate on policy-sensitive two-year notes jumped four basis points. Traders scaled back expectations for the Federal Reserve's next quarter-point rate cut to September. Before the Middle East war erupted, traders had fully priced in a move by July. Bond options show some traders betting the Fed may not cut rates at all this year. Most Read from Bloomberg The moves were more aggressive in Europe and the UK: swaps imply a 60% chance of the European Central Bank hiking rates twice this year and slightly less than a 50% probability of the Bank of England raising borrowing costs once by the end of the year. German two-year yields surged nine basis points to 2.40% and their UK equivalents soared as much as 30 basis points to 4.17%, the biggest increase since October 2022. The broader bond rout reflects anxiety about the global economy after crude oil surged toward $120 a barrel, up almost 80
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