Petrobras: Compelling Valuation At Current Price Level [Seeking Alpha]
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras American Depositary Shares representing Preferred Shares (PBR.A)
US:NYSE Investor Relations:
investidorpetrobras.com.br/en
Company Research
Source: Seeking Alpha
PBR's five-year $109B capex plan targets peak oil production of 2.7MM bpd by 2028 and 3.4MM bpd by 2029, with significant expansion in refining and low-carbon fuels. Valuation remains compelling: P/E GAAP at 5.59, EV/EBITDA at 4.89, and FCF yield at 14.5%, even after a 68% share price rally. Key risks include state control, export taxes, and policy interventions that cap near-term margin and dividend upside, but pre-salt assets' low costs and global oil dynamics support upside. Thales Antonio/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Introduction Petrobras ( PBR ) has gained nearly 68% since my last analysis on the company back in October, as I rated it a hold based on its position in Brazil and not its This article was written by Analyst's Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I a
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