Brace for a swift 20% drop in the S&P 500 if recession strikes in 2026, Wall Street forecaster says [Yahoo! Finance]
Palantir Technologies Inc. - Class A (PLTR)
Company Research
Source: Yahoo! Finance
The bank's base case is for the S&P 500 to rise by 9% next year, but bearish risks are building. If all remains well with the US economy in 2026 , investment bank Stifel sees 9% upside ahead for the S&P 500. However, if a recession materializes, investors should be prepared for a swift 20% drop in the benchmark index, the bank said in a client note on Thursday. "Fed is easing, but recession risk (with a fast -20% S&P 500 decline) is not trivial," Barry Bannister , Stifel's chief US equity strategist, said. Recession is not Stifel's — nor any major bank's — base case scenario for next year. The Federal Reserve also just upped its growth forecast for 2026, and Stifel assigns about a 25% chance that a downturn strikes. Still, the ingredients are there for stocks to undergo a rough patch if things go awry in the economy, Bannister said. For one, the labor market appears to be on somewhat shaky ground, with unemployment and layoffs on the rise, and new job opportunities scarce
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PLTR
Earnings
- 11/3/25 - Beat
PLTR
Sec Filings
- 12/12/25 - Form 144
- 12/3/25 - Form 4
- 11/24/25 - Form 4
- PLTR's page on the SEC website