After 625 Days, The Longest Yield Curve Inversion In History [zero hedge]
Signature Bank (SBNY)
Last signature bank earnings: 4/23 05:00 am
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Source: zero hedge
After 625 Days, The Longest Yield Curve Inversion In History Today is a historic day, as last night - DB's Jim Reid reminds us - we quietly passed the longest continuous US 2s10s inversion in history. After the 2s10s first inverted at the end of March 2022, it has now been continuously inverted for 625 days since July 5th 2022. That exceeds the 624 day inversion from August 1978, which previously held the record. As regular readers are aware , an inverted yield curve has been the best predictor of a US downturn of any variable through history: the yield curve has always inverted before all of the last 10 US recessions, with a lag that is usually 12-18 months, but some cycles - certainly this one - take longer.... much longer. In fact, the lack of a recession so far has prompted Red to ask - in his latest Chart of the Day note - if the inverted yield curve recession indicator has failed this cycle? "Possibly", the DB strategist responds, " but in many ways the yield curve has already a
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- Truist's profit falls as interest income shrinks on higher deposit costs, tepid loan growth [Reuters]Reuters
- Fed says 1,804 banks and other institutions tapped emergency lending facility [Reuters]Reuters
- Fed says 1,804 banks and other institutions tapped emergency lending facility [Yahoo! Finance]Yahoo! Finance
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- 3/15/24 - Form SC
- 2/14/24 - Form SC
- 2/12/24 - Form SC
- SBNY's page on the SEC website