Is the Iran war pushing Europe into a stagflation crisis? [Yahoo! Finance]
S&P Global Inc. (SPGI)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
The result: the sharpest stagflation alarm from European survey data in years. According to flash Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) surveys from S&P Global released Tuesday, Eurozone business activity lost momentum in March as rising energy prices pushed input costs to their highest level in more than three years. The convergence of slowing growth and accelerating prices — a classic stagflationary mix — is the economic scenario policymakers fear most. Stagflation alarm bells The headline eurozone composite PMI came in at 50.5 in March, down from 51.9 in February and below the 51.0 consensus — the weakest reading in ten months, barely above the stagnation threshold. But the more alarming signal is not the lack in growth — it is the simultaneous inflation surge. Input cost inflation across the eurozone accelerated to its fastest pace since February 2023, driven by soaring energy prices, fuel costs and maritime freight disruptions directly linked to the conflict in the Middle
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