Energy Expert Warns Oil Shocks Hit The Economy With Incredible Speed, Usually Within Thirty Days [zero hedge]
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Source: zero hedge
Energy Expert Warns Oil Shocks Hit The Economy With Incredible Speed, Usually Within Thirty Days Submitted by Steven Kopits of Princeton Energy AdvisorsThe lasting damage from the weekend's attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure is yet to be fully assessed. Having said that, we can make some broad statements about supply outages and economic cycles.Although we tend to forget it, almost all of the major US recessions since 1945 have been triggered by wars in the Middle East involving Persian Gulf countries and oil politics.Specifically:The 1956-1957 Suez Crisis led to the closing of the Suez canal and rapidly precipitated a recession in the advanced economies The Yom Kippur War of 1973 led to an embargo on oil exports to the US and other western countries, precipitating the first US post-peak oil shock The Iran-Iraq War created another price spike, triggering the Second Oil Shock, two back-to-back recessions in the US (1979-1983) Price increases associated with Saddam Hussein'
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