U.S. bond market recession signal not far away, strategists say: Reuters poll [Reuters]
Toronto Dominion Bank (The) (TD)
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Source: Reuters
U.S. bond market recession signal not far away, strategists say: Reuters poll | Reuters 5 Min Read BENGALURU (Reuters) - Short-dated U.S. Treasury yields will rise above longer maturities — a reliable forecaster of recessions — within two years and possibly in the next year, according to market experts polled by Reuters. At just 27 basis points now, the gap between two-year and 10-year notes is expected to shrink to 17 basis points a year from now, the narrowest since the early days of the financial crisis, as the U.S. Federal Reserve presses on with interest rate rises. And yet with two more rate hikes expected this year and another two or three next year, the Sept. 12-20 poll of over 90 strategists showed both short- and long-term yields will rise only another 30 basis points or so in a year. “Yields on the long end of the U.S. curve have likely peaked for 2018 when the 10-year crossed back below the 3 percent mark. The interest rate markets narrative has changed ... to one more foc
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Earnings
- 2/29/24 - Beat
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Sec Filings
- 4/25/24 - Form 424B3
- 4/25/24 - Form 424B2
- 4/25/24 - Form 424B3
- TD's page on the SEC website