A Calm Finish To A Wild Year: Markets End 2025 Without A Santa Rally [Seeking Alpha]
VANGUARD FTSE ALWLDEX US (VEU)
Company Research
Source: Seeking Alpha
Gold posted its best year since 1979, while oil, Bitcoin, and the US dollar fell; silver outperformed all. Corporate profits hit records, with S&P 500 2025 EPS near $275 and 2026 consensus growth above 14%. Early 2026 may see continued equity strength, but midterm election risks and sector divergences warrant caution. Where are you, Santa? It's been the same question for the past few years, as stocks have not staged much of a year-end rally despite the final week being historically bullish. The SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust ( SPY returned 1% in December, with the Nasdaq 100 ETF ( QQQ ) finishing flat. For the year, US large caps returned 18%, outperforming their small and mid-cap peers, but lagging the international equity market. The Russell 2000 ETF ( IWM ) was down fractionally in 2025's final month, while the Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF ( VEU ) returned almost 3%. Over in the bond market, the Aggregate Bond ETF ( AGG ) was close to unchanged. The US Dollar ETF ( UUP )
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