XPeng: Valuation Improved, But I Am Still Not Buying (Rating Upgrade) [Seeking Alpha]
XPeng Inc. American depositary shares, each representing two Class A ordinary shares (XPEV)
Company Research
Source: Seeking Alpha
My big concern about the business model viability is due to the fact that revenue and EPS are moving in opposite directions. Q4 2023 deliveries indicate a potential revenue beat, but I expect cautious guidance due to decelerating deliveries in early 2024. Investment thesis My previous bearish thesis about XPeng ( NYSE: XPEV ) aged well as the stock price dropped by 48% since early October 2023. Today I want to update my thesis and I believe it will be especially useful for readers in light of the upcoming quarterly earnings release, which is scheduled for next week. Considering Q4 2023 robust delivery dynamics, I expect XPEV to beat consensus revenue estimates, but am highly uncertain about the ability to demonstrate a solid EPS improvement. I also do not expect the guidance to be strong, given decelerating deliveries in January-February 2024. The valuation now looks much better from the discounted cash flows perspective, but the upside potential is not enough for me to outweig
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XPEV
News
- XPENG to Showcase AI-powered Smart EV innovations at Beijing Auto Show 2024GlobeNewswire
- XPENG Publishes 2023 Environmental, Social and Governance ReportGlobeNewswire
- XPENG Files 2023 Annual Report on Form 20-FGlobeNewswire
- XPENG and the Volkswagen Group Announce Entry into the Framework Agreement on E/E Architecture Technical Collaboration [Yahoo! Finance]Yahoo! Finance
- XPENG and the Volkswagen Group Announce Entry into the Framework Agreement on E/E Architecture Technical CollaborationGlobeNewswire
XPEV
Earnings
- 11/15/23 - Beat
XPEV
Sec Filings
- 4/25/24 - Form 6-K
- 4/19/24 - Form 6-K
- 4/17/24 - Form 6-K
- XPEV's page on the SEC website