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0 -0.00103626943005179 0 -0.00414507772020735 -0.00207253886010358 -0.00310880829015537 -0.00518134715025914 -0.00310880829015537
Stock impact report

XPeng: Valuation Improved, But I Am Still Not Buying (Rating Upgrade) [Seeking Alpha]

XPeng Inc. American depositary shares, each representing two Class A ordinary shares (XPEV) 
Company Research Source: Seeking Alpha
My big concern about the business model viability is due to the fact that revenue and EPS are moving in opposite directions. Q4 2023 deliveries indicate a potential revenue beat, but I expect cautious guidance due to decelerating deliveries in early 2024. Investment thesis My previous bearish thesis about XPeng ( NYSE: XPEV ) aged well as the stock price dropped by 48% since early October 2023. Today I want to update my thesis and I believe it will be especially useful for readers in light of the upcoming quarterly earnings release, which is scheduled for next week. Considering Q4 2023 robust delivery dynamics, I expect XPEV to beat consensus revenue estimates, but am highly uncertain about the ability to demonstrate a solid EPS improvement. I also do not expect the guidance to be strong, given decelerating deliveries in January-February 2024. The valuation now looks much better from the discounted cash flows perspective, but the upside potential is not enough for me to outweig Show less Read more
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