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Stock impact report

The job market's Great Freeze will probably break in 2026, one way or another [Business Insider]

ZipRecruiter, Inc. Class A (ZIP) 
Have an account? Log in The 2025 frozen job market could thaw by the time 2026 is over. Job-market experts like Claudia Sahm don't think the low-hire, low-fire state is sustainable. Hiring expectations are mixed, but some believe uncertainty will cool, helping businesses. The frozen job market could be heading into "a moment of reckoning" this year, said Claudia Sahm, the chief economist of New Century Advisors. The job market has been stuck in a low-hire, low-fire state, partly due to economic uncertainty, such as businesses figuring out how tariffs affect them . It's really up to employers to break the freeze — and how they do so could be either beneficial or disastrous for job seekers. Sahm sees the job market going in one of two directions in 2026. One direction: "We really slow down in terms of hiring, and we hit a place where the bottom falls out. And it's not just about slow hiring, it's about firing workers and a recession." The other: "The uncertainty lifts, Show less Read more
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