Markets in Q1: the wild ride towards rate cuts [Globe and Mail, The (Toronto, Canada)]
ZURICH INS GROUP S/ADR (ZURVY)
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Source: Globe and Mail, The
mood lurching between optimism and pessimism about prospective rate cuts from major central banks. MSCI's global share index, which smashed through record highs in March, is up 10% since mid January after traders dropped earlier bets for as many as seven U.S. rate cuts in 2024 but then chose to celebrate the idea of cuts starting in June. Switzerland last week kicked off an easing cycle among big, developed economies. And while traders almost fully expect the Federal Reserve to lower U.S. borrowing costs from 23-year highs in June and the European Central Bank to cut its deposit rate from 4% then too, caution could follow. Dennis Jose, head of equity strategy at Exane BNP Paribas, said central banks could lower borrowing costs in the summer but might then pause if economic growth improves -- raising the odds of further labour market tightness, wage growth and inflation. “I think it may be better to travel than arrive at that first rate cut,” he said. EVERYTHING RALLY A glo
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