Bank of America has blunt message on stocks and bonds for Q2 [Yahoo! Finance]
Bank of America Corporation (BAC)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
His March 27 report sees the US dollar and oil as the two assets best positioned to hold strength into mid-year. Most everything else faces downside risk. Recent market moves have reinforced earlier BofA forecasts. Rising Treasury yields, a firmer dollar, and higher oil prices are all tracking in the direction the bank expected. Ciana says those trends are likely to continue unless a clear macroeconomic resolution triggers a sharp reversal What Ciana said about the S&P 500 The S&P 500 is at the center of the bear case. Ciana identified a topping pattern after the index made a modest new all-time high in Q1 but fell short of its upside target. "After a modest new all-time high in Q1 that fell short of target, a wedge top and rounded top formed," the note said. "The close below the 20-week SMA on March 6 signaled a downtrend. Downside risk in Q2 includes 6,340 / 6,175 / 6,000. The 20-week SMA near ~6,810 is key resistance and may guide a decline. We do not yet see capitulation
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