Goldman Sachs reset oil price forecast for the rest of 2026 [Yahoo! Finance]
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) (GS)
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Source: Yahoo! Finance
The bank described it as the largest supply shock in the history of the global crude market. This is not a minor model tweak. It is a fundamental reassessment of where energy prices are headed. Brent crude is now expected to average $85 a barrel in 2026. That is up from Goldman's prior forecast of $77. West Texas Intermediate was raised to $79 from $72. The note was led by analyst Daan Struyven. It was published as the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran entered its fourth week with no sign of resolution. What Goldman Sachs' model assumes Goldman's base case assumes flows through the strait stay at just 5% of normal levels for six weeks. That is followed by a gradual one-month recovery. Under that scenario, cumulative oil losses would exceed 800 million barrels. Crude production losses in the Middle East are currently running at 11 million barrels per day . Goldman expects that to peak at 17 million barrels per day before any recovery begins. To put that in context, roughly 20% of the
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Sec Filings
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- 3/23/26 - Form 424B2
- 3/23/26 - Form 424B2
- GS's page on the SEC website